The catalog

Maintained rehearsal distributions — each a standing scenario re-run on cadence and on world developments, with a deterministic delta every cycle.

updated 2026-09-13 · weekly · N=5 · world as of Q3 2026

How could a Taiwan Strait quarantine unfold?

Inspections, not shots: coercion priced by markets, alliances and clocks — rehearsed to its stopping points.

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updated 2026-10-03 · weekly · N=5 · world as of Q3 2026

How could a Russian move on northern Norway unfold?

Article 5 on paper meets facts on the ground in Finnmark — alliance machinery, escalation ladders, and a small state's worst week.

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updated 2026-10-03 · weekly · N=5 · world as of Q3 2026

How could a hybrid campaign against Norway unfold?

Sabotage below the treaty threshold: a grid on its knees, operatives in Oslo, and an alliance built for wars this deliberately isn't.

$9 · $29/mo standing

updated 2026-09-26 · weekly · N=5 · world as of Q3 2026

How could the Chinese e-truck offensive reshape European haulage?

A market wargame: fleet buyers crown the winner one purchase order at a time while Brussels' CO2 clock runs underneath.

$9 · $29/mo standing

updated 2026-09-13 · weekly · N=5 · world as of Q3 2026

How could a Russian test of NATO's resolve in the Baltic unfold?

The CIA director just warned Moscow off the Baltics; the assessed threat is a deniable, sub-Article-5 test aimed at the alliance's unanimity. Rehearsed from the week after the warning.

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